10 min de lectureA side-by-side breakdown of the economics, risks, and structural advantages of two capital-intensive industries.
Gold and Bitcoin are often compared as scarce, non-sovereign assets. But while much has been written about their investment case as stores of value, fewer draw the comparison at the production level. Both assets rely on mining — one physical, the other digital — to introduce new supply. Both industries are defined by cyclical economics, high capital intensity, and deep ties to energy markets.
Yet the mechanics and incentives of bitcoin mining differ in nuanced ways to gold mining, which ultimately have an outsized effect on how the economics and strategies of industry participants are both set up and play out. This report will walk you through a few of their similarities, but perhaps more valuably, their material differences.
Asset scarcity is derived from physical and computational mining
Gold mining is a centuries-old process of extracting and refining metal from the earth. It requires identifying viable deposits, securing permits and land access, and using heavy machinery to remove ore from the ground — followed by chemical treatment to isolate the metal for downstream distribution.
Bitcoin mining, by contrast, involves repeating a computational process in a race to settle batches of Bitcoin transactions and earn newly issued coins plus fees. This process, known as creating Proofs of Work, involves procuring rackspace, electricity, and specialized hardware (ASICS) to efficiently run the calculations — followed by an internet connection to broadcast the results to the Bitcoin network.
In both systems, mining is an unavoidably costly process that underpins the scarcity of each asset: Bitcoin’s is enforced by code and competition; gold’s is by physical and geological location. But the way that scarcity is extracted, the economics of the producers — and how each evolves over time — has very little similarities.
Bitcoin mining economics are shaped by competition, hardware cycles, and multiple revenue streams
Gold mining has relatively forecastable economics. Companies model reserve estimates, ore grades, and extraction timelines with reasonable accuracy, though initial estimates can still be far off the mark: about one in five developed gold mining projects proves profitable over its lifecycle. Major costs — labor, energy, equipment, regulatory compliance, and remediation — are well projected in advance. Depreciation mostly amounts to the ordinary wear and tear of machinery or reserve depletion. The primary short-to-medium term uncertainty is oftentimes the notoriously steady market price of gold itself. And on top of that, almost all of these input costs can be effectively hedged.
Bitcoin mining, by contrast, is much more dynamic and unpredictable. Company revenues depend not only on the relatively volatile market price of bitcoin, but on their share of the global hashrate (read: global competition). If others expand their operations more aggressively, your relative output can decline even if your mining operations do not change. It’s an ongoing variance to consider for operators.
Thus, our first difference is that, unlike gold mining, where production forecasts are quite stable, bitcoin miners face the uncertainty of their production being privy to the entry, exit, and strategies of other industry participants.
One of the most important costs of bitcoin mining companies is depreciation, and more specifically the depreciation of ASIC machinery. These chips in bitcoin mining machines keep rapidly improving in their efficiency, urging companies to upgrade to remain competitive, long before such equipment naturally wears out. The implication being depreciation takes place on a timeline of technological progress rather than physical deterioration. It is a major expense — albeit a non-cash one — and marks a key distinction from gold, where mining equipment remains useful longer, having already experienced the majority of efficiency gains in their machinery.
The combined effect of bitcoin production changing at the whims of industry competition and short depreciation cycles is a constant pressure to reinvest in new hardware to maintain production levels — a trap professionals often call the “ASIC hamster wheel”.
Another, this time positive, fundamental difference is in revenue structure. Gold miners earn only by extracting and selling the unreleased supply stored in reserves. Bitcoin miners however earn both from extracting unreleased supply and transaction fees. Transaction fees offer a revenue stream of already released supply to miners, which varies based on the demand to transfer bitcoin. As bitcoin nears its 21 million supply cap, fees will become an increasingly important revenue stream — a dynamic that gold miners simply don’t have.
Last, a mainly long-term advantage of mining bitcoin is the ability to repurpose a byproduct of operations: heat. As electricity passes through their machines, it generates substantial thermal energy that can be captured and redirected for secondary use — like industrial processes, greenhouse farming, or residential and district heating. It opens up entirely new revenue streams. The impact of reusing heat will likely grow as mining machines commodify and depreciation timelines lengthen. Likewise, gold miners can benefit from saleable byproducts like silver or zinc — elements typically identified as part of project planning and treated as an offset to gold production costs.
Bitcoin mining offers a more promising environmental future than gold
It is well known that gold mining is inherently extractive and leaves a lasting physical footprint: deforestation, water contamination, tailing ponds, and disruption of ecosystems. In many regions, it also raises concerns around land rights and worker safety.
Bitcoin mining, on the other hand, is not physically extractive and entirely electricity-dependent. This opens the door for integration — not conflict — with local infrastructure. Because miners are mobile and interruptible, they can serve as grid stabilizers and monetize otherwise wasted or stranded energy sources like flared gas, overbuilt hydro, or curtailed wind and solar.
Unbeknownst to many, bitcoin mining also shows promise as a subsidy for clean energy and as a way to justify grid connection. By colocating with renewable or nuclear generation, miners can improve project economics before grid connection — without relying on publicly funded subsidies.
Lastly, while now well documented, it’s worth noting that compared to traditional industries, Bitcoin’s carbon profile is lower on average and more transparent. Arguably, it is even necessary for a smooth transition to renewable-heavy electric grids.
Faster cycles and technology reputation define Bitcoin mining investment profiles
Both industries are cyclical and sensitive to the price of the asset they produce. But while gold miners typically operate on multi-year timelines, bitcoin miners can scale operations up or down more quickly in response to market conditions. It makes bitcoin mining more flexible, but also more volatile.
Public Bitcoin mining companies have tended to trade like high-beta tech stocks, reflecting their sensitivity to both bitcoin’s price and broader risk sentiment. In fact, several market data providers classify listed bitcoin miners in the Technology sector, not under traditional energy or materials groupings.
Gold mining companies, however, are longer-established and often hedge future production, which can mute exposure to gold’s price upside and downside. They are generally categorized within the Materials sector and evaluated more like traditional commodity producers.
Capital formation also differs. Gold miners typically raise capital based on reserve estimates and long-term mine plans. Bitcoin miners often raise capital more opportunistically — in recent history often through direct or convertible equity issuance — to fund rapid hardware upgrades or data center expansions. As a result, they are more dependent on market sentiment and cycle timing, and tend to operate with shorter reinvestment timelines.
Bitcoin mining offers exposure to energy, compute, and future financial networks
Gold and Bitcoin may converge long-term to serve similar macroeconomic roles, but their production ecosystems are structurally different. Gold mining is slower-moving, physical, and resource-depleting. Bitcoin mining is faster, more modular, and likely to be increasingly integrated with modern energy systems.
For investors, that means bitcoin miners are an imperfect digital analog of gold miners. Rather they represent a new class of capital-intensive infrastructure, blending exposure to commodity cycles, energy markets, and technology disruption. Those investing with long-time horizons should consider them as a distinct, emerging asset class with unique fundamentals, particularly as transaction fees grow in importance and energy partnerships evolve.
Understanding these nuances is necessary, in our opinion, to make informed investment decisions in the distributed financial system that society is increasingly trending towards.
As an investment, bitcoin miners offer exposure to scarcity, but also a play on the growth of data center infrastructure, energy markets, and the monetization of compute — a convergence traditional mining simply doesn’t capture.
